I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion. I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup. I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time. I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly. I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!
I'm skipping Xfinity and Trucks for Atlanta. There's too much uncertainty about what these races are going to look like and I'm not going to be able to watch practice on Saturday morning, so I've got no edge. I'm hoping to catch up on Cup practice and post something for the Cup race late Saturday night.
Cup Update--After watching practice and Saturday's races, I'm still at a point where I really don't like this race from a DFS (or real life) perspective. My advice is to play very light and try to do something a little different. Don't just play all the real chalky guys. I wouldn't go full super speedway/stack the back strategy, but I do think it's best to focus on position difference guys. I probably won't use anyone starting higher than 15th. Trying to guess lap leaders is tough and fastest laps were all spread throughout the field on Saturday. Good luck. Looking forward to a more normal race next week.
Here are my favorite options for Sunday--
The scope of Kyle Larson's domination last year at the 1.5 mile lower wear tracks was just amazing. There was no one even close to him. So, for cash games this week, I'm going with Kyle and as many position difference guys as I can fit in. I just don't see things changing a whole lot.
Who are the position difference guys? Most are obvious, but here's my list of top plays--
On the cheap end of things, I like Justin Haley, Corey LaJoie and Todd Gilliland.
Some H2H bets I like:
Saturday Update -- Just a couple of bets I like
OK, let's get some better luck and results in this Xfinity race.
I like six guys in the $9k+ range, so you can mix and match these guys--
Myatt Snider and Jeb Burton are solid position difference plays in the $7-8k range. Lean Burton.
Salary saver options:
Quick Update - Spencer Boyd slower then expected. OK with Busch and JHN since there are a number of cheap options. I'd be surprised if anyone else leads a lap other then some random one off thing. OK with Matt Mills as well.
The key question for this slate is whether to use Kyle Busch. He's obviously the favorite and is going to lead laps and run fastest laps no matter where he starts. A lot will come down to how decent a lineup you can make with cheaper guys if using Kyle. So, for now, here's a list of some cheaper options I trust the most (all relative considering it's the Trucks Series) at this point:
A couple of bets that look good to me:
What a wild Saturday. Before we get into Cup stuff, I wanted to talk for a minute about contest selection. Saturday's Xfinity contests had a great example to help understand why what contests you enter might be even more important then what lineup you use.
Now onto Cup stuff. I've got to think cash lineups are going to be so chalky with a host of good cars starting in the back due to numerous practice and qualifying issues. I really can't argue against playing any of the five guys who will be scored in the 30s - Almirola, Harvick, Chastain, Wallace and Kurt Busch. Kurt will have to do a drive through penalty, but with the number of expected cautions on Sunday, it's pretty likely he can get a lap back even if he does fall off the lead lap serving the penalty. You could conceivably use all five and then pick your favorite with the remaining salary.
A couple of bets I like:
SATURDAY UPDATE -- There are a ton of good position difference plays in the mid tier today. The question you need to ask is who do you trust? Guys like Myatt Snider, Anthony Alfredo and Jeffrey Earnhardt have a good floor and upside because of their starting spot. But do you trust them? Or would you rather take a little less scoring floor and upside with guys like Tommy Joe Martins, Kaz Grala, Jeb Burton and Brett Moffitt. This early in the season with such a short practice, I'm leaning toward the second group. I'll take the risk of fading that first group with eyes wide open that it might burn me because I trust the second group more. (Also, Timmy Hill is out and will not race. It's ridiculous that Graf bought out the ride after missing the race in qualifying.)
Same day qualifying makes it so hard to narrow down the target list in advance. I'll try to add a quick note after qualifying on Saturday. Here's the best I can do for now:
Reminder - I won't be posting anything for the Duels. My stuff will start with Trucks on Friday.
Trucks Series Notes posted below Thursday Night - Friday Update Posted Below
Xfinity Series Notes coming soon - Friday Night Update Posted Below - Post Qual Notes Below
Cup Series Notes posted below Friday Morning
Time to get back to work. All three series are in action this weekend and I'll keep updating this post as necessary until The 500 begins. We'll start with some general comments about my approach for Daytona--
I'll add comments below for each Series after salaries come out and we see some more practice and qualifying runs.
Trucks Series (Friday) -- will update if possible after qualifying
Xfinity Series (Saturday)
Cup Series (Sunday)
Just wanted to drop a quick note as the 2022 season approaches. I'm planning to post my notes for DFS and gambling throughout the season again this year. It might not be every series every week, but I should cover most of it. I will NOT be covering the pre-season nonsense like the Clash or Duals. Please use throw away money on those. Save for the real season. More to come during Daytona week.
All of my notes for the Championship races at Phoenix are in the three posts below this one. For this one, I just wanted to take a few minutes to let you all know how my season long leagues have gone.
My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games. This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. I'm also a NASCAR writer at the motor sports website slicksandsticks.com