I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion. I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup. I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time. I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly. I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!
A few general notes before moving into the details. Just 160 laps this week, so many fewer laps led and fastest lap points are in play. Finishing position and position difference will be even more critical this week. Also, current forecasts show very tough weather with high rain chances especially on Friday and Saturday. Hopefully they will get some practice time so we can see how everyone is looking.
Last year, we saw a huge amount of overlap in the Top 10 in the two Pocono races. Seven drivers finished in the Top 10 in both races and two of those drivers finished in the Top 5 in both races. These drivers will be a focus this weekend -- even more so if practice gets rained out. Here's the list:
Here are a few more details on some of these drivers and others of note:
We'll have more after cars hit the track.
Here's my final update and thoughts about where I'm going with a cash lineup:
Some other tournament only targets that I'll be including in tournament lineups are: Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson, Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney and Kurt Busch.
Some guys I am purposely avoiding in all formats: Ryan Newman (solid track record, but starting 6th so will lose positions); Alex Bowman (bad track record, bad practice, unlikely to gain much ground from 27th starting spot); Matt Kenseth (starts 17th, but very unlikely to finish in the Top 20); Ty Dillon (starts 20th and will lose ground); and Ross Chastain (starts 25th and will lose ground).
Good luck everyone!
Developments during qualifying left us in a very interesting spot. Based on salary and starting position, I've narrowed down my possible cash game plays to about 10-12 driver targets. Here's who I'm looking at:
We'll be back late Saturday night with a final update and thoughts for your roster construction. In the meantime, you can tweet any questions @illinisjc
In the last post, I identified an initial group of drivers of particular interest to me coming into this race weekend. Here's a few more notes -- mostly about those guys and their performance in the last three 600 mile races and on 1.5 mile tracks this season.
I'm not going to do a write-up on the All Star race. It's a totally new rules package that has no relation to anything they've ever used at Charlotte before. There is a restrictor plate, enlarged spoiler and a different splitter. There is no comparison to anything they have run in the past, so there's no reason to look at historical results. I expect the thing to be totally unpredictable and pretty wacky and I have no interest in putting any money into it.
Looking ahead to the 600, here are a few guys with good to great Charlotte histories who I am starting to focus on. As always, a lot will depend on practice and qualifying position:
We'll have much more coverage for the 600 in the coming days.
Here's what I'm thinking for lineup construction this week:
For cash games, 50/50s, double ups:
For large tournaments:
As always, you can Tweet any race day questions @illinisjc
Honestly, I don't have a whole lot to add to what we said in the look ahead a few days ago. I fully expect this race to be won by Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch or Martin Truex. And some combination of those three is likely to dominate the race as well. That is basically what has happened the last four Texas races. Truex won both races last year, with Harvick and Busch each winning a race in 2016.
Also, in looking back at the last few Kansas races, there have been a good amount of Top 10 finishers coming from back in the field. Last Fall, for example, four of the Top 10 finishers started 19th or worse. In the Spring, four of the Top 10 finishers started 15th or worse. So there will also be some opportunity for position difference points here.
I also looked back at the three races this year on 1.5 mile tracks. Of note, Harvick won two of those races and finished second in the other one. Kyle Busch has finished 7th, 2nd and 1st. Truex has two Top 5 finishes, but crashed out at Texas. Logano has finished 6th, 7th and 6th. Keselowski, Blaney, Kurt Busch and Eric Jones have been pretty strong as well.
I'll have a lineup construction update posted real late Friday night after I can watch practice and qualifying.
I'm really happy with the way things went this week for our target drivers. We really hit on a few of them. Here are a few rewind notes from the Dover race:
I'm happy with the roll we're on, but am already working on Kansas. Here's a few things to know about that race next week:
URGENT UPDATE -- Larson will start from the rear. Do not use in cash games. OK to replace with another Dominator or possibly Jimmie Johnson.
This is a tricky race to pick because it's not clear who our 1 or 2 Dominators will be. I'm going to focus first on DraftKings and then do a few FanDuel specific notes.
Here is what I am thinking on a DK lineup build:
For FanDuel, we're still in the learning process there for what works best. I think many of the same concepts translate from our DK build this week.
If you have any last minute question, you can tweet them @illinisjc
And if you like what we're doing here, are learning how to build winning lineups and winning money, please consider supporting our effort through our Patreon page CLICK HERE FOR LINK. The more resources we have, the better we can be. Thank you.
I'll have a full update late Saturday with most of my lineup strategy. For now, here's a list of the drivers I will be watching most closely in practice tomorrow. They are listed in qualifying order:
My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games. This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. I'm also a NASCAR writer at the motor sports website slicksandsticks.com