I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion. I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup. I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time. I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly. I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!
I think I might be coming at things a different way this week, particularly when it comes to Denny Hamlin. I think a lot of people will be on him with a sub-$10k salary starting from the pole after dominating this race last year. I'm lukewarm on him and might end up preferring to use safer, position difference upside guys. Let's look at some specific plays I like for cash games:
This is one of my favorite races of the season. The Xfinity cars at Homestead can really put on a show because you've got multiple grooves of racing and a super high line right against the wall that gets faster and faster as the run goes on. Two of the drivers in this race -- Tyler Reddick and Noah Gragson -- are really, really good at running that super high line, so it will be fun to watch them compete on Saturday and work their way forward from bad starting spots.
Here's how I see the best cash lineup breaking down:
SUNDAY 2PM LATE UPDATE - LIKING SUAREZ TO USE INSTEAD OF (OR WITH) TY DILLON. BOTH ARE STILL SOLID. ALSO LIKE DIBENEDETTO. SHOULD HAVE A GOOD +12-15 OR MORE POSITION DIFFERENCE.
I think there are some obvious plays here and a few tough questions for cash games on Sunday. Let's go over them:
Well it was quite the Friday Night Trucks Series race. The race itself was, of course, ridiculous with the number of cautions and general stupid stuff we've come to expect in truck races. But, I talked about the chaos I expected here and played lineups accordingly. It resulted in my first solo GPP takedown and a $20,000 win on $130 worth of entries in the $100K Piston. It's still hard to believe.
I'm pretty set on this Xfinity strategy for cash games--
Odds I found interesting:
FRIDAY 1:15 PM EASTERN TIME -- ADDING A FEW NOTES IN BOLD BELOW
I am very nervous about this race -- and particularly the first lap -- for two reasons. First, we have a very jumbled up field because the starting order was essentially set by the Daytona superspeedway result. So we've got some very weak trucks and drivers starting near the front and some very strong trucks and drivers starting in the middle and back of the field. Second, we've got a lot of newcomers who are racing for the first time in the Trucks Series and/or for the first time at the Daytona road course. Add this to there being no practice or qualifying and it's very concerning. In short, it wouldn't surprise me at all to see a pile up in the very first turn.
We've also got rain to contend with today making the chance for chaos even higher. And if the grass is wet and muddy, going off course at the wrong spot could be a killer.
Top Driver Targets
A few other notes on guys of interest:
A couple of bets that I think have some value --
It's a short article here because the cash game strategy is pretty obvious this week. We always want to be conservative with guys starting from 25th on back at the plate tracks. And we've got some really good drivers with strong teams starting back there. So there will be a lot of duplicate, "chalky" lineups focused on these guys.
Unfortunately, I can't be as helpful as normal for Trucks & Xfinity this week. With same day qualifying, I just can't be all that specific about which drivers to target based on starting position. The general approach for cash games (50/50s) will be the same as the past. We're looking for drivers starting from at least 25th on back who have the most reliable equipment and experience at the plate tracks (Daytona and Talladega).
There are 46 trucks on the entry list for at most 36 spots in the race. Obvious point, but make absolutely certain you're starting people who are in the race.
The truck races at plate tracks are usually very crazy, so I look for guys who are likely to be conservative and just ride around the back until the end of the race. For cash games, it's all about your trucks still running at the end of the race.
Here are some likely targets based on who I'd expect to be starting toward the back:
Trucks Update after Thursday Practice--
Much the same story with 45 entries for a 36 car field. Again, double check everyone you use makes the race.
The 2021 season is almost here and Daytona contests are posted on Draft Kings. I can't wait to get going.
I don't plan on posting anything for what I consider the pre-season races. My season will begin in earnest on the 12th as we start with Trucks, Xfinity and then the Daytona 500. See you then!
My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games. This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. I'm also a NASCAR writer at the motor sports website slicksandsticks.com