I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion. I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup. I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time. I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly. I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!
500 laps of Cup Series racing hopefully on Saturday night coming up. Rain is forecast, so we could have some curveballs thrown our way with this one.
FRIDAY UPDATES IN BOLD BELOW
We're back for Xfinity Series short track racing on a Friday night. 250 laps is a lot for an Xfinity Series race, so we really need to be aware of the laps led and fastest laps points for this one. Also, last year was the first year in a long time that the Xfinity Series has raced at Martinsville, so we don't have a whole lot of data at this track to work from. Let's get to it--
Running short on time, but wanted to post some quick notes to help you build a strong cash game lineup for Sunday's race --
Saturday 1:30 EST Bets Added--
Like Trucks, I've got a pretty small cash game pool for this Xfinity race, so we'll go through most of them here.
Up top, it will probably be two of Austin Cindric, Martin Truex and Noah Gragson. I could see a case for using all three, but that would require some pretty extreme punt plays and there are a few cheaper guys who have a similar profile to Gragson. Playing all three could work, but I'll probably go a bit more balanced.
No matter how you cut it, you'll need at least one and maybe several cheap punt plays. The options aren't great, so let's focus on the few guys I'd be able to stomach using in a cash game.
And that leaves our mid-tier plays to fill in the gaps.
Saturday 1:30 EST bet added
First a quick programming note -- I'll be covering all three races this weekend at Atlanta, but I'm not doing anything for the Bristol dirt stuff next week. That is going to be such a wild and unpredictable event that it doesn't make sense to spend the time studying all the one off drivers and situations were going to see in those races. I'll spend that time reviewing what I've learned in 2021 so far and getting ready for the races we'll see after the Easter weekend break.
I've got a pretty small pool of cash game drivers for the Truck race this week, so I'll review everyone on that list.
Sunday 1:20pm Eastern -- Adding a few bets in bold at the bottom
There were six races on short, flat tracks last season and Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano were elite performers in every single one of those races. Logano won the Spring Phoenix race and finished all six races in the Top 4. Keselowski won twice (New Hampshire and Richmond) and also had 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishes. His car was good enough to win both Phoenix races but he suffered from bad pit strategy in the first race and bad pit execution in the second. I'm playing at least one (and possibly both) of these guys.
Let's look at who else is in play:
I don't really like the mid-tier or position difference targets this week. Let's take a look at a few of them who might be considered:
May add some H2H bets Sunday before the race.
The first big question on this slate is what to do with the expensive $10k drivers. To me, there's not a strong case to play Noah Gragson or Harrison Burton. While they had good finishes at Phoenix last year, they never really threatened as a dominator -- which we need from a $10k driver without huge position difference upside. So let's look at the remaining four:
I'll try to add some H2H bets in on Saturday.
H2H Bets Added Saturday at 2pm Eastern
I'm not using Harvick. To me, there's just too much uncertainty about how this race is going to play out and who will lead laps. There is an early competition caution and we have a lot of cars up front that could challenge for the lead early -- including William Byron, Kyle Larson, Martin Truex, Denny Hamlin and Chase Elliott who all start in the Top 8.
With all the uncertainty about who might dominate, my preferred approach this week is to play a couple of position difference guys and make a well balanced lineup. Here are my key targets to build that kind of lineup:
SATURDAY NOON EST UPDATE - FOUR H2H BETS ADDED IN BOLD BELOW
There's a couple key decisions to make for Saturday's Xfinity race, so let's get right to them:
May post more Saturday closer to race time.
FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON ADD ON: BRET HOLMES IN BOLD BELOW
FRIDAY 5:45PM EST ADD ON: NEW H2H BETS IN BOLD BELOW
Kyle Busch makes his annual return to the Trucks Series at Las Vegas on Friday night, and we're absolutely locking him into those cash game lineups. In his last two races here, Kyle has scored 97 and 106 DK points -- leading over 100 laps and running 48 or more fastest laps in both races. Both times he started right near the front. This race he has even more upside starting 29th. We're now adding in +28 position difference to go along with a slew of laps led and fastest laps. This is a no brainer play in cash games and tournaments unless you're playing multiple tournament lineups and want to go off Kyle in a few of them to have the upper hand if he were to have a mechanical issue or get caught in a wreck.
Where to go after Kyle:
I usually don't place a lot of bets until close to race time, so it's hard for me to also post here. I will try to update if I can.
My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games. This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. I'm also a NASCAR writer at the motor sports website slicksandsticks.com