I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion. I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup. I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time. I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly. I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!
This is an interesting slate with a number of different ways to go. In the end, I think we've got some great plays in the $9-10k range, so I'm looking to load up on three of those guys and take my chances fading the most expensive drivers. The biggest risk with that approach is that one of the Kyles (Larson or Busch) dominates the race. On balance, I think the value in the $9-10k range is just too good to pass up.
The other tier I'm really focused on is the $7-8k range.
All in on C. Bell for the Xfinity race on Saturday. Joe Gibbs cars have won the last five New Hampshire Xfinity races and Bell has won the last two. He starts 14th, so offers position difference upside too even if he doesn't dominate the whole race. It helps Bell that there is a competition caution on Lap 20. He should be well inside the Top 10 for that restart.
Outside of the Gibbs cars, Josh Berry is my other favorite. He won the Martinsville race this year, which is another similar short, flat track -- albeit with much tighter corners. Josh is in the #1 Jr Motorsports car this weekend in place of the injured Michael Annett. He starts 21st and has +15 position difference upside with an outside chance to lead laps.
In the middle tier, there are some decent plays that could work, but I can't confidently say any of them will hit 5x value:
Punts are ugly:
We've got 400 miles of Cup Series racing Sunday from Atlanta. All recent races here have been 500 miles, so this is a little shorter. But I don't think that will have a ton of impact on our analysis. Here are my main targets heading into Sunday:
Saturday brings us 250 miles of Xfinity Series racing at Atlanta. Here are my top targets:
No trucks stuff from me today. Xfinity will be up late, late, late tonight.
I will try to post a quick update after qualifying.
Only 62 laps for the Cup race on Sunday, so not a whole lot out there for laps led or fastest laps. In addition, there are multiple pit stop strategies that could come into play so we're very unlikely to see anyone dominate and lead a bulk of the laps. Larson essentially did that at Sonoma, but that one had 90 laps so offered a good deal more points for laps led and fastest laps. So, the focus is more on finishing position and position difference points.
Obviously, a lot depends on qualifying spots. Here is my main target list heading into qualifying. But anyone driving for a good team can come into play if they qualify way worse then expected.
Saturday Update -- For cash games, probably just using guys starting 20th on back. I think the studs up front will battle and split up the few laps led and fastest laps points that are available. And Xfinity road races tend to have chaos. Focusing almost exclusively on position difference and guys who can finish Top 15ish. Don't be afraid to leave salary on the table like a super speedway race.
Add Harvick to the list starting 20th. He finished 4th at COTA with the same team. Rodney Childers is working with the crew.
Added some post-practice notes in bold.
Back to the road courses where I've had a lot of success this year. It started with the $20K GPP win in the Trucks Series race at the Daytona road course and continued with the $1,500 GPP win in the Cup Series race at Sonoma.
It's tough on these weeks with same day qualifying. For now, I'm going to list my expected driver pool and I'll add some notes after Friday's practice. For those newer to the site, I generally focus on a cash game, double up or 50/50 approach. But I'll generally include a few riskier plays that have tournament winning upside.
So here's the list in a rough order of my ranking before practice and qualifying taking into account their salary and scoring potential--
Obviously, if a top tier team/driver qualifies poorly they come into play even if not on the main target list.
I put a few notes for Sunday's Cup Series race in the last post. But you shouldn't need much help making a cash game lineup there. So I'll spend more time on Xfinity.
Just 90 laps in this race, so somewhat limited laps led and fastest laps points. In choosing our top dollar plays, we probably want to have some built in position difference to go with laps led/fastest laps upside.
For some reason, Draft Kings released salaries for Race 2 earlier this week so we now have a situation where the cash game plays are obvious and we'll have many duplicate, chalky lineups. At most, we've only got about 10 smart cash game plays that most people should be on to. At the very least, we'll have overlap of at least 4-5 drivers on almost every roster.
On these weeks, I limit my cash game exposure, play some tournaments with a few less popular drivers and keep more money for a better slate where we have an edge.
Obvious big position difference plays--
Obvious potential lap leaders who also have position difference upside--
Going quick and to the point this weekend--
My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games. This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. I'm also a NASCAR writer at the motor sports website slicksandsticks.com