I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion. I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup. I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time. I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly. I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!
The races were borderline unwatchable on Saturday, but hopefully you made some DFS money to make it worthwhile. I saw nothing to change my mind about how to approach cash games for Sunday's race. We want a modified superspeedway approach with guys starting further back in the field, but they must have a strong car or team. I'm not just indiscriminately taking anyone who's starting in the back as you might at a superspeedway. My cash game pool starts at 24th with Ryan Preece, so let's go through the list in starting order --
Here are a couple of tournament plays I like--
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Just a quick write up for Saturday. New Atlanta is closest to a super speedway race where we see close together pack style racing and can expect a lot of cautions and cars crashing out of the race. We are also likely to see multiple leaders and no one getting more then about 8-10 fastest laps. So our key goals - especially in cash games - is finishing position, positive position difference and avoiding negative scores. One big difference from the super speedways is that this track is much shorter so it's easier for guys in inferior equipment to get lapped. So I'll be using a modified super speedway approach and looking for guys who have experience and are with good teams starting from about 20th on back. For Trucks, I'd start with John Hunter Nemechek in 24th. And for Xfinity, I'd start with Justin Haley in 18th.
Good luck on Saturday. I'll have more depth on the Cup race Saturday night. Sunday Morning Update: Cup Race
Here we go. Let's have a big day Sunday. I'm going to focus first on safer, cash game plays and then get into a few lower owned, upside plays for tournaments-- Top Cash Game Plays
Top Leverage Plays
Saturday Update -- With same day qualifying for the Xfinity Series, I won't get a chance to post anything for that race. But I will be able to put up a Cup article on Saturday night/Sunday morning, so check back then. Good luck this weekend. Lots of personal stuff this weekend, so not sure how much I'll be able to post. Here are a few pre-weekend notes.
Good luck. I'll try to post something else before the Cup race if I can and think it will be useful. Unfortunately the Logano cash lineup crapped the bed. The back up Byron/Larson one, however, smashed and scored a big win for a very profitable day. Looking forward to Phoenix.
Let's get right to our preferred cash game strategy for Sunday's race--
So happy to have full practice and qualifying done on Friday so we have time to prepare for Saturday's Xfinity Series race. Keep in mind we have numerous cars starting in the rear because teams went to back up cars after Auto Club last weekend. (This is a one-off Xfinity only rule where the teams are required to run the same car back-to-back weeks at Auto Club and Las Vegas.) They are: Cole Custer, Sheldon Creed, Josh Berry, Brandon Jones, Kyle Busch and Gray Gaulding. All will still be scored from their qualifying spot.
Trucks Series articles tend to be shorter because I usually don't know the starting order before I post them. For this week, I'm going to post some notes about the drivers I'm most interested in heading into Friday based on their DK salary and expected performance. Obviously, Friday practice and qualifying can change a lot, so pay attention before lineups lock.
I also have a few head-to-head bets at the end. This is our first real Trucks Series race where the dramatic difference in Truck and team quality will be on display and I'm not sure the books have properly accounted for some off-season driver moves. DFS Plays
Bets
It looks like there's next to zero chance we get any on track activity on Saturday, so my current plan is to wait until Saturday night to write up my notes for the Cup Series race and Xfinity Series race - which would take place later Sunday after the Cup race.
Stay tuned. Saturday Night Update NASCAR screwed up the Xfinity slate for us, so let's talk about Sunday's Cup Series race. I focus on cash games and there's not a lot to say about this one. We've got obvious chalk starting from 28th on back. I expect 75% (or more) of people will start their cash lineups with Chase Elliott, Tyler Reddick, William Byron and Eric Jones. That leaves a 2 v 2 match-up to see who wins. And there aren't a lot of likely candidates for those last two spots either, with most people pairing Austin Dillion or Chase Briscoe with a cheaper driver. I'm not going to give out a lineup, but focus on car and team quality for that last spot. When in doubt, I want the best car and team I can get down in that salary range. My overall advice on weeks like this where cash games will have a ton of duplicate lineups is to pull back a bit on cash games. It's Week 2 of a long season. We've got plenty of time to make good money by making better choices then our competition. In weeks like this where most of the choices are so obvious, we don't have the same edge. If you want to go heavier somewhere, switch to some larger tournaments and have some fun fading chalk and getting different with the last few spots. Fade one or two of the expensive chalk guys and then have some fun. A few guys to consider -- Ryan Preece, Ross Chastain, Kyle Larson and Ty Gibbs. Good luck everyone. Also, I'll normally have a more in depth discussion of the guys I like on a weekly basis but things are so obvious this week that it doesn't make sense to waste time with a lot of detail. Here we go. Scroll down a few entries for some bets that look good - hopefully you can still find some numbers that are reasonably close.
For DFS cash games, we're obviously looking at guys starting farther back who have some upside. To me there's no reason to use anyone starting higher then 25th. So let's break down 25th-40th:
Trucks went well with the Young's and RBR strategy. It's a similar play for me in the Xfinity race. For more on the overall strategy, see the Trucks post below. Here are the Xfinity teams I'll be focused on because they're likely to be slower, start near the back and not race aggressively early in the race:
Bets I don't really bet favorites at super speedways because so much unexpected chaos can happen. Here are some longer numbers that I think have value:
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AuthorMy name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games. This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. Archives
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