Bristol post qualifying update

First, a few notes about overall Draft Kings strategy and approach for this week:

• With a 500 lap race, there are over 100 lap led points and over 200 fastest lap points out there for the taking.  Recent Bristol races have had one or two guys who score 100+ DK points because of the bonus points they rack up for laps led and fastest laps.  It will be critical to get at least one of those Dominators in your lineup.
  
• Position difference is still a factor, but less so than most weeks.  Just last Fall, Kevin Harvick had the third best DK score (70.5) in large part because he was +21 in position difference points.  He didn't lead any laps and had only 27 fastest laps, but was still the third highest DK scorer.
• Like last week, this is a week to remain pretty cautious and probably go more towards tournaments and less towards cash games.  Bristol can be a very unpredictable track.  It is often hard to pass, there is a lot of contact and a lot of damaged race cars.  In addition, we have very sketchy weather for Sunday.  At the very least, race conditions are going to be much different than anything the teams saw in practice or qualifying.  All that adds up to more risk and more uncertainty.

Here are a few more drivers I am looking at given their qualifying position:

• Denny Hamlin -- Hamlin starts 25th.  In 4 of the last 6 Bristol races, one of the top three DK scorers started 25th or lower.  Most times, those drivers move through the field, lead laps and score bonus points in several different ways.  Hamlin is the most likely driver to do that this week.  Martin Truex (starts 26th) is also a possibility and worth watching in practice on Saturday as well.
• Jamie McMurray -- Similar logic to Hamlin here.  McMurray -- who starts 31st -- had a great run at Texas last week and could continue a rebound after a very poor start to the season.  He has a solid record at Bristol as well.  He's finished on the lead lap in the last five races at Bristol.  And the last time he started this deep in the field (28th), he rallied for an 8th place finish.  Ryan Newman (starts 30th) and is also a candidate here. 
• I continue to like Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson, Kevin Harvick and Trevor Bayne

More to come after two practice sessions on Saturday.