The Fantasy Nascar Guy
  • Home
  • About
  • Contact
  • LINKS
  • Support
I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion.  I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup.  I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time.  I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly.  I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!

charlotte trucks

5/25/2020

0 Comments

 
The biggest lineup question is what to do with Kyle Busch and his $15,000 salary. The easy and correct answer is play him. He's actually still under priced by a lot.

In his last six Trucks races (5 last year and 1 earlier this year), Kyle won all six races, led an average of 106 laps, ran an average of 58 fastest laps and scored an average of 103 Draft Kings points. So Kyle is averaging a 6.8x return on his salary -- which puts him way above the 5x return we are really looking for. Simply put, he's still very under priced and really carries a salary value of $20,000 or more.

Is there any argument to not use him? Yes. There are a few things to have some concern about.
  • (1) Chase Elliott is in this race as part of the "bounty" Kevin Harvick threw out there for a Cup regular to beat Kyle in a Trucks race. And Kyle just accidentally wrecked Chase earlier this week when Chase may have been in position to win at Darlington. Could Chase decide this is the right time to even the score? Possibly, but he would have to get close enough to hit him and I don't think he will. To a lesser extent I've got some concern about Ross Chastain. He an Busch raced each other hard in the Xfinity race on Monday night. I will be very nervous when Kyle is around Chastain in the Trucks race.
  • (2) There are a lot of inexperienced and marginal drivers in the field. They do stupid things sometimes and you never know who might get collected when they do stupid things. Plus this is the first Trucks race since March and many of these guys haven't been on track since then. So it might get dicey at times -- think end of the Xfinity race. But, this is always a risk and totally out of our control. It can impact Busch just as easily as it can impact the alternates we would build around like Elliott, Chastain or Brett Moffitt.
Simply put, the risk of fading Busch and hoping he gets unlucky is much greater than the risk of actually using him.

Where to go with the rest of your roster? There are two approaches.

First, you can spend up for another top tier guy like Brett Moffitt or Ross Chastain -- both of whom should finish in or near the Top 10 with +15 position difference. But that leaves you with only about $6k per driver for your last four spots and you're really going to need a few inexperienced drivers on underfunded teams to come through for you in that scenario. I respect what they're trying to do, but I'd rather not risk my cash game money on guys like Bryan Dauzat and Codie Rohrbaugh.

Second, my preferred approach, is to go down the salary schedule a bit and build a well rounded team with guys on strong teams (GMS, Niece and DGR-Crosley) and guys on under funded teams who already have raced in the Cup Series or Xfinity Series in the last two weeks. I think that's the safest way to approach things in setting the highest floor while still having a similar upside to the Busch + Moffitt/Chastain build.
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Author

    My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games.  This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. 

    Archives

    January 2023
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017

    Categories

    All
    2018 Preview
    Atlanta
    Background/Intro
    Charlotte
    Daytona

    RSS Feed

Proudly powered by Weebly
  • Home
  • About
  • Contact
  • LINKS
  • Support