COTA Trucks and xfinity

Two slates, so right to the point here--

Trucks

• I don't think Kyle Busch is worth it for two reasons. (1) His ceiling just isn't high enough so even if he dominates the race you can win without him. (2) I hate the lower salary tier here so want to avoid it if at all possible.
• The best plays to me are in the $8,900 - $9,900 range. I'd load up as much as you can here.
  • Matt DiBenedetto obviously
  • The group of Grant Enfinger, Kaz Grala, Ben Rhodes and Chandler Smith all offer quite a bit of safety and Top 10 upside. That's probably the order I'd rank them, but it's close and have no issue with any of them. Smith has had great speed so far this year, but has a questionable history at road courses.
  • You could go up to J.H. Nemechek, but I'm not sure he has any more upside then any of the others who are a little cheaper.
• Matt Crafton and Ty Majeski are playable in a little cheaper range, but neither has shown road course performance as good as the last group.
• Tanner Gray is also usable with a safer floor and +10 position difference upside. He is a little on the pricey side though, so not a must have.
• I don't have a lot of desire to dip below the $6k range because there are just too many question marks. Timmy Hill would be the guy down there because he's easily the best driver in this tier. But there are some reliability questions with the truck for that team and it adds risk that they spent time preparing a second truck for his brother that failed to make the race in qualifying.

Xfinity

• Up top, I lean Allmendinger over Gibbs. It's close and Gibbs might just dominate this race. But there are a lot of aggressive drivers up front with Gibbs, Chastain and Custer and I just feel like Allmendinger is the best road course racer in that group and can use his experience and patience to come out ahead. He also offers a few additional points of position difference if he can move up.
• Brandon Jones obviously - although I'd consider fading him in larger tournaments.
• Noah Gragson was fast in practice and has Top 5 upside. Daniel Hemric also has good position difference upside from 19th.
• Three strong plays in the $6k range with Jeremy Clements, Brandon Brown and Ryan Sieg. That is the order I'd rank them with Sieg as a distant third. But he does have more safety and upside with the 35th starting spot.
• I don't mind dipping below the $6k mark for Xfinity.
  • Josh Bilicki, Sage Karam and JJ Yeley all have solid road course backgrounds. The issue is their car reliability. Bilicki and Karam have a slight advantage there I think.
  • I also don't hate Stephan Parsons for a sub-$5k salary.