The Fantasy Nascar Guy
  • Home
  • About
  • Contact
  • LINKS
  • Support
I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion.  I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup.  I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time.  I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly.  I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!

cup series - daytona road course

2/20/2021

5 Comments

 
SUNDAY 2PM LATE UPDATE - LIKING SUAREZ TO USE INSTEAD OF (OR WITH) TY DILLON. BOTH ARE STILL SOLID. ALSO LIKE DIBENEDETTO. SHOULD HAVE A GOOD +12-15 OR MORE POSITION DIFFERENCE. 

I think there are some obvious plays here and a few tough questions for cash games on Sunday. Let's go over them:
  • Lock in Alex Bowman and Ty Dillon.
    • Bowman is a good (but not great) road course racer and has consistently performed well. In eight road course races in the Cup Series, he's finished no worse than 14th and has two Top 5 finishes. He got a flat tire and went a lap down last year at Daytona, but raced his way back to finish 12th. Starting 36th, his expected floor is at +15 or so position difference with an upside of +30.
    • Ty Dillon has been sneaky good at road courses. He finished 20th at Daytona and 23rd at Charlotte last year. He also had a 15th place finish at Charlotte in 2019. Considering he's not been in top level cars, that's really good. He probably takes a small step down in equipment this season, but still should be a Top 25 car. From his starting spot of 38th with a $5,600 salary, that works just fine. I would not go cheaper than this in cash games.
  • Decide among the four $10k+ options of Martin Truex, Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney and AJ Allmendinger.
    • Truex has great speed at the road courses and may be the best driver here. But he's been making mistakes that cost him shots at the win. There have been pit road penalties and then he just lost it in the Clash a few weeks ago. He clearly had the best car that night. Starting 19th with race winning upside.
    • Elliott will probably lead all or most of Stage 1. At that point, pit strategy comes into play and we'll have to see how things shake out. He's a great road course racer and has executed to perfection at the road course races -- winning four in a row. With so many other drivers having huge position difference upside, I'm leaning toward fading Elliott in cash games since he would have to be perfect and dominate the race to offset the position difference points the other guys in this tier are going to earn. Can he do it? Definitely. But that's the only way he works over the rest of these guys.
    • Blaney starts 27th and has +20 position difference upside. He's finished in the Top 8 in five of the last six road course races. He finished 31st at Daytona last year, but was heading for another Top 10 finish until he missed the front chicane in the closing laps and fell to the back of the lead lap.
    • Allmendinger is a road course guy and starts 34th. He's got +30 position difference upside. He's not running the full season in the Cup Series, though, so it's win or go home for him. He won't be holding anything back or playing anything on the safe side.
  • Fill in with mid-tier options like Eric Jones, Chris Buescher and Ryan Newman.
    • Jones starts 37th. With Joe Gibbs Racing, he was often a Top 10 car at the road courses, including finishes of 11th at Daytona and 3rd at Charlotte last year. He takes a step down to Richard Petty's team this season, but he should still be able to crack the Top 20.
    • Buescher has been remarkably steady at road courses. He was teammates for several years with A.J. Allmendinger and I think that really improved his road course skills. He's finished 20th or better in each of the last ten road course races.
    • Newman isn't a great road course racer, but he should keep the car on the track and move up some from his 33rd starting spot. He finished 19th at Daytona last year. While I wouldn't count on a Top 20 repeat, he should be able to pick up 8-10 position difference points. 
5 Comments
Dustin
2/21/2021 02:28:15 am

First of all thanks for the help last night! How about this lineup for today?... Allmendinger, Blaney, Bowman, Buecher, Newman and Ty Dillon?

Reply
Dustin
2/21/2021 03:22:06 am

Or would you go... Allmendinger, Blaney, Buecher, Byron, Erik Jones and Ty Dillon

Reply
Steve
2/21/2021 09:33:13 am

I like them both. Byron has Top 10 upside for sure. The first one looks real familiar to me.

Max
2/21/2021 06:52:58 am

If you had to choose one.. who do you like out of Alfredo and Suarez..

Reply
Steve
2/21/2021 09:31:50 am

Probably Suarez. Alfredo lacking a bit in road course experience.

Reply



Leave a Reply.

    Author

    My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games.  This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. 

    Archives

    January 2023
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017

    Categories

    All
    2018 Preview
    Atlanta
    Background/Intro
    Charlotte
    Daytona

    RSS Feed

Proudly powered by Weebly
  • Home
  • About
  • Contact
  • LINKS
  • Support