daytona xfinity

It was awesome to see all the new Draft Kings truck series contests fill up well before lock time.  Let's hope it continues and DK increases the prize pools available to our NASCAR crew.  On to Saturday's Xfinity race:

• Again, so much depends on starting spot.  I'll do the best I can to identify some potential targets here, but really everyone is on the table for me depending on starting spot.
• Keselowski will obviously be very highly owned if he doesn't qualify up top.  He's only raced in one Daytona race in the last three seasons.  In 2017, he started 6th and finished 4th.  He does have three consecutive Top 5 finishes here dating back to 2014.  I'm generally comfortable with him in all formats, but he does carry a lot of risk since he'll probably be starting in the Top 6-8 and there is a major position difference downside if he gets caught up in a wreck.
• Tyler Reddick won this race last year.  He has two straight Top 10 finishes in the February Daytona race and three Top 10 finishes in the last six plate track races.
• Justin Allgaier has a very strong plate track history despite 30+ place finishes in three of the last four Daytona races.  He finished 9th at Daytona last July and has back-to-back Top 10 finishes at the other plate track in Talladega.
• Ross Chastain finished 16th, 6th, 9th and 10th in the last four Daytona races.
• Justin Haley is on a solid team and should have won the last Daytona race in July.  He is under priced at $6,800.
• Garrett Smithley finished 8th and 5th in the last two February Daytona races.  And he has three Top 10 finishes in the last six plate track races.
• Vinnie Miller finished in the Top 20 in all three plate track races last season.
• Timmy Hill finished 17th and 7th in his last two Daytona starts.
• Jeff Green has four Top 20 finishes in the last six plate track races.
• As these last couple of notes indicate, the weekly "start and park" issue we face with Xfinity races isn't really an issue here.  Most every team tries to run this race in full and doesn't voluntarily pull out and park the car during the race.  These teams realize it's one of their few chances to get exposure, have a decent finish and earn more prize money, so they tend to run out these races.