dover trucks

The truck series returns Friday after about a month off.  This will be the first race (other than Daytona) without Kyle Busch in the field, so we'll start to see some of the top series drivers rise to the top.  As always, things are very dependent on qualifying spot, but there's only a short time between qualifying and the race.  Here are a few notes to guide your lineup building:

• My best guess is that Johnny Sauter and/or Brett Moffitt will be the Dominator(s).  Sauter won the last two Dover races and led 137 laps last year.  Moffitt has been strong since Daytona -- finishing in the Top 4 in all but one of the last four races.
  
• Matt Crafton and Stewart Friesen are longer shots, but could be worth a look depending on starting spot and/or as contrarian tournament plays.
  
• Brandon Jones, Harrison Burton, Austin Hill, Sheldon Creed and Jess Little all seem fairly priced in the $7,000-$9,000 range.  Hopefully a couple of them do not qualify well and will be a good fit for a cash game lineup.
• In the under $7,000 range, the only guys that I'm actually targeting are Tyler Ankrum and Raphael Lassard.  Ankrum is with a solid mid-tier team in the 17 truck.  He's been in that truck twice this year and finished 19th at Martinsville and 6th at Texas.  The truck overall has finished all 5 races this year in the Top 20 and 2 races in the Top 10.  Lassard is in an extra 4th Kyle Busch Motorsports entry.  He also ran a 4th KBM truck at Martinsville and finished 14th after starting 8th.  It was a solid run and he hit value given his cheap salary despite the -6 position difference.  Reid Wilson is the only other guy I might feel good about.  He's in the #44 truck for another mid-tier team in Niece Motorsports.  This truck has 3 Top 12 finishes with veteran driver Timothy Peters this year, so it's decent equipment.  In Wilson's only other race this season at Martinsville, he started 27th and finished 24th.  All of the others in this range are long short dart throws that should be used (if at all) only if they are starting in the last couple of starting spots.