dover

Planning to cover both races. Xfinity notes up late Friday night and Cup notes up late Saturday night. Thanks for following.

Xfinity Notes (posted Friday night) -

• Thinking through a cash game lineup, I want to start with Justin Allgaier and Josh Williams. Allgaier is easily the best Xfinity Series driver at Dover over the long term with Top 3 finishes in nine of the last ten Dover races dating back to 2017. There's simply no one to trust more here. As for Williams, he was way off base on Friday but Kaulig has generally been fine at Dover and his teammate AJ Allmendinger looked to have a very competitive long run car in practice. So they should be able to get things going in the right direction and get at least a T20 finish if they stay out of trouble.
• After that, I think the key decision is whether to go up for a second potential dominator -- probably Ryan Truex -- or go for more position difference with a guy like Sam Mayer, starting 20th. At this moment, I lean Truex, who won both stages and the race here last year (from the same 12th starting spot). The upside is huge with Truex considering he led over 100 laps here last year. The downside is you might have to compromise a bit on your last lineup spot.
• From there, I think you've got several excellent value plays from top tier teams in the $8k and $7k ranges. And round things out with whoever else you can fit in that seems to have some position difference ability for cheap.
  
• Austin Hill, Chandler Smith and Riley Herbst are all likely to be lower owned guys that have a clear path to leading laps and scoring a lot of dominator points. All are likely too risky for cash games, but make really good tournament pivots.

Good luck!