final texas update

First, a general comment about this slate.  I have a low level of confidence in the picks this week because we have so little relevant data to go off.  The weather this weekend has been totally crazy and nothing like it will be for the race.  Friday was mostly cloudy with temps in the 80s.  Saturday was cloudy with temps in the 30s and winds blowing from the opposite direction.  Race day is forecast to be in the 60s with complete sunshine.  The conditions (and track) will be so different that looking at practice results is less helpful this week.  Watching practice on Saturday, we heard driver after driver say that little of what they could do in practice would apply to the race since conditions will be so different.

On top of that, this is only the third race on the repaved and reconfigured surface.  So, we just don't have a very meaningful history to go off either.

​What all this means is that you need to have the discipline to not overplay this week.  Winning DFS players know they sometimes need to take a step back when there are just too many unknowns.  And that's what we have for this race.  I'll personally be pulling back my exposure this week to something around 50%-60% of my normal week.  I'm also inclined to do more GPPs and fewer cash games because of how unpredictable this slate will be.

Good luck everyone.  You can Tweet any last minute questions @illinisjc