glen cup

8/7/2021

6 Comments

My cash game group is pretty small for The Glen on Sunday. Here it is:

Chase Elliott - Won the last two races at The Glen and has been a Top 2-3 car at all the road courses this season. Starts 11th so offers some position difference points to go along with race dominating potential.
Kyle Busch - Starts 20th and has strong Top 5 potential. 5th at Sonoma and 3rd at Road America. Historically runs very well at The Glen. If you believe in narratives, he deserves something good here after getting screwed by the rain at New Hampshire.
Kurt Busch - Very similar profile to his brother Kyle. Maybe a little less upside, but also a little cheaper. 4th, 6th and 4th at three of the road courses this year -- slide off track in the monsoon at COTA for his only bad finish on a road course this year. Has finished 11th or better in the last seven races at The Glen.
Chase Briscoe - Not cheap, but he's a really, really good road course racer. He'd have to have something go wrong to not get to +10 position difference territory and he's got upside to +20.
Ross Chastain - A bit risky, but 4th, 7th and 7th with excellent speed at the last three road course races.
Chris Buescher - Four Top 18 finishes at the road courses this year. 11th, 20th and 13th in his last three races at The Glen. He has now established himself as one of the most reliable road course racers in the Series.
Michael McDowell - Top 18 finishes in the last four races at The Glen and two Top 10 finishes on road courses so far this season.
Cole Custer - Cheap. Three Top 20s at the road courses so far this year. He wrecked in the rain storm at COTA for his only bad finish. Did well at The Glen in the Xfinity Series as well.
Corey LaJoie - 20th, 18th and 21st at the last three road course races this year. Has a better car then everyone starting behind him, so should only move up. Cheapest guy I can play with a decent confidence level.

Bets
Not a lot I'm seeing right now.

Stenhouse -115 Bubba Wallace
Stenhouse -115 Ryan Newman

6 Comments

Rob

8/8/2021 04:53:58 am

Hi Steve. I always look forward to reading your thoughts on race days. Very much appreciate it! Do you have any thoughts on playing Larson today in cash? He's the one guy I fear otherwise I'm locking in Chase and Kyle Busch. Thanks for your time.

8/8/2021 06:36:31 am

Also do you feel that Kyle is that much better of a play for cash over Kurt for the $900 difference? Thanks

Tom Damanski

8/8/2021 10:28:14 am

Personally, I think it’s worth playing down to Kurt if you can upgrade (Custer to McDowell). Good luck though. Be interested to see what Steve thinks too.

Steve

8/8/2021 04:31:42 pm

I would've agreed with Tom on this one. I liked the savings going to Kurt over Kyle. I ended up using using both Busch Bros. (and not using Elliott) after the penalty.

8/8/2021 04:30:16 pm

Sorry I didn't have time to get back in here this morning. I probably would've said no on Larson until the Elliott penalty. At that point, it became much more likely he would lead at some point. I ended up not using him though. Wasn't a great cash game day for me, but did OK in tournaments.

8/8/2021 05:44:21 am

I’m looking Briscoe -105 over DiBendetto. Thoughts on that H2H?

glen cup

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