Las Vegas Cup

The scope of Kyle Larson's domination last year at the 1.5 mile lower wear tracks was just amazing. There was no one even close to him. So, for cash games this week, I'm going with Kyle and as many position difference guys as I can fit in. I just don't see things changing a whole lot.

Who are the position difference guys? Most are obvious, but here's my list of top plays--

• Kyle Busch - I'm a little worried about the quality of the back-up car, but you've got to trust that this Joe Gibbs team put together a good piece. At just over $10k starting from dead last, it's a pretty easy choice for the top spot here. That said, I do think you can fade Busch for leverage in tournaments because it's extremely unlikely he scores dominator points or sniffs the Top 5 finish. So we're talking a ceiling in the 60-65 point range.
• Chris Buescher - For the price, he slots in second here. Starting 27th, he's got a good +12-15 position difference upside for under $7k.
• Kurt Busch - Starts further back then Harvick and is a little cheaper, so he edges out the #4 car for third on my list.
• Kevin Harvick - It's still hard for me to get used to seeing him start so deep in the field and not be a factor on Sundays. A Top 10 is the goal here, but I'm not entirely convinced that's realistic without a lot of chaos.
• William Byron - Not really a true position difference guy, but I do think he's got a solid chance to finish in the Top 5 and could score dominator points. 

On the cheap end of things, I like Justin Haley, Corey LaJoie and Todd Gilliland.

• I've got Haley first because it looks like Kaulig is bringing some pretty good race cars to the track. At a minimum, they're faster then Spire, Front Row and the back markers.
• I don't love LaJoie or Gilliland, but they should be able to gain a couple of positions if they keep their cars clean.

Some H2H bets I like:

• Austin Dillon EV Brad Keselowski
• Austin Dillion -105 Kurt Busch
• Denny Hamlin +105 Tyler Reddick
• Denny Hamlin -135 Kyle Busch
• Chris Buescher -155 Ty Dillon
• Daniel Suarez +130 Eric Jones
• William Byron -110 Joey Logano
• Christopher Bell -125 Eric Jones
• Alex Bowman +300 to win Group C (Bowman, Keselowski, Harvick and Reddick)