Las Vegas Xfinity

Saturday Update -- Just a couple of bets I like

• Landon Cassill -115 Riley Herbst
• Landon Cassill +2500 to win -- one of 5-6 guys who are in the conversation to win and he has by far the longest odds, so worth risking a few bucks
  

OK, let's get some better luck and results in this Xfinity race.

I like six guys in the $9k+ range, so you can mix and match these guys--

• Ty Gibbs - Race winning potential from the #11 starting spot. This #54 team had four wins in six races at lower wear 1.5 mile tracks last year -- including Ty winning at Charlotte and Kansas.
• Noah Gragson - Really fast in practice -- but it's forecast to be a lot more cloudy and windy on Saturday, so I'm not sure how much carries over. Some concern that he didn't lead a meaningful number of laps or run many fastest laps at these types of tracks last year.
• Justin Allgaier - Finished 2nd, led 90 laps and ran 36 fastest laps in the last race here. Tends to do well at the lower wear tracks. Love the position difference potential as well.
• A.J. Allmendinger - Starts on pole and could lead early. Won the Spring race here last year and finished in the Top 7 in five of the six lower tire wear races at 1.5 mile tracks last year.
• Josh Berry - Won last Fall's race here. Been really fast, including last week in the same car. Probably the most risk of this group, but also dominator potential for a sub-$10k salary.
• Brandon Jones - Gulp! Always a wild card and risky play, but he finished 3rd and 6th here last year and did not finish worse then 11th in any of the six low tire wear 1.5 mile track races last year. Starts 21st, so has a solid floor and Top 5 upside.

Myatt Snider and Jeb Burton are solid position difference plays in the $7-8k range. Lean Burton.

Salary saver options:

• Bayley Currey and Stephan Parsons - both ran well in California last week before having late race issues that weren't really their fault. I'm fine using either of these guys because they're among the more reliable drivers in this salary range.
• Joey Gase and Ryan Ellis are other options, but I'm a little less confident in the speed and reliability of their cars.