The Fantasy Nascar Guy
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I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion.  I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup.  I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time.  I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly.  I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!

nashville cup

6/19/2021

4 Comments

 
Man, based on Saturday's practice, the Chevys seem unbeatable here. The Top 7 cars on the practice speed chart were Chevys. 8 of the Top 10 were Chevys. And it's not just the Hendrick four. Both Ganassi cars -- Kurt Busch and Ross Chastain -- were in the Top 7. Rickey Stenhouse and Tyler Reddick were 4th and 5th, respectively. So all of the major Chevy teams had at least one driver in the Top 6 on the practice speed chart. That's crazy. I'll stop short of suggesting to go all in on the Chevys, but if you're making a close call between drivers, I'd lean the Chevy way here.

On the flip side, the Toyotas were way off and seemed worried based on comments from Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex. Hamlin was the only 1 of 2 Toyotas in the Top 20 in practice speeds. Most of the 8th-20th positions were Fords.

  • Hard not to think Kyle Larson dominates this race at some point on Sunday. He's basically had the best car all year long and is arguably the most talented driver in the field. He's expensive, but certainly can hit value with another dominating performance.
  • Kurt Busch and Ross Chastain are also targets for me. Kurt was one of three drivers to do the tire test at Nashville, which can only help. And, as I mentioned above, they were both really quick in practice.
  • Suarez, Preece and LaJoie would be cheaper Chevy options that may come into play depending on their starting spots.
  • In the Ford camp, the Penske cars have traditionally done well in the 750 HP package. Logano and Blaney in particular have very affordable prices tags here and are definitely on my radar.
  • Lower on the salary range, I like Chase Briscoe. He also did the tire test here and generally did very well on concrete tracks coming up through the Xfinity Series. He's mentioned often in interviews how much he enjoys racing on the concrete surfaces. 
  • Ryan Newman had good speed in practice and we know what a pain in the ass he is to pass. On a tough passing track like this, he could be in play if he doesn't qualify too well.

I wish I could give you guys more, but it's so hard to get into a lineup strategy or even get too deep into driver targets without knowing starting positions. It has seemed tough to pass here throughout the weekend, so it might be a week to put a little less focus on position difference upside and focus more on who you think can get really good finishes while gaining at least a few spots.

Bets
  • Buescher -130 Custer
  • Newman -115 Custer
  • Briscoe -110 Jones
  • Preece +130 Jones
4 Comments
Rob
6/20/2021 11:03:44 am

Steve do you still like Briscoe today? Thanks for your time.

Reply
Steve
6/20/2021 12:13:05 pm

Probably not for cash. Too risky that he could lose a few spots. I'm guessing 12th-20th as a finishing range, but big risk if he has a problem so best left for tournaments.

Reply
Rich C
6/20/2021 05:24:52 pm

I did really well today because of you. Thank you so much for providing your invaluable insight. You're awesome!

Reply
Casey
6/25/2021 06:42:32 am

Agreed Steve is top notch. Great work.

Reply



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    My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games.  This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games. 

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