I started this blog to provide a casual, recreational level of fantasy NASCAR advice and discussion. I've been playing these contests for a number of years and am annoyed by lineup sellers and groups of players using the same lineup. I'm hoping to give the casual player some help in building solid lineups that can beat that annoying crowd most of the time. I'm not a "tout" and don't do this for a living, so proceed accordingly. I hope you enjoy the discussion here and Good Luck!
Adding notes/updates in bold below throughout the weekend:
It's hard to find good comps for this Sunday's Cup Series race in New Hampshire. We've got the new 2020 short track package with a lot less down force compared to last year, so even looking back to the 2019 New Hampshire race isn't a great comparison. (But FYI, Danny Hamlin dominated the race with 113 laps led and 55 fastest laps. He finished 2nd to Kevin Harvick, who led just 41 laps and ran 33 fastest laps.)
The few races the Cup Series has run with this 2020 short track package aren't directly on point either because the tracks are quite a bit different, or they were night time races or, in the case of Phoenix, it was run before the COVID break and after practice and qualifying. So, we're left interpreting numbers that really don't match up well with the race we have on Sunday.
The first critical cash game decision is what to do with Christopher Bell. He's back to starting 35th this week and is $10,100. To hit a 5x return, he'll need over 50 points, which means a 14th place finish or better. That is certainly doable for him and I'd say a finish right around 15th is a reasonable expectation. This will be Bell's first Cup Series race at New Hampshire, but he was awesome at this track in his Xfinity Series races. Last year, he won the Xfinity race, led 186 of 200 laps and ran 99 fastest laps. In 2018, he also won the Xfinity race, led 93 laps and ran 25 fastest laps. That 2018 Xfinity field included Brad Keselowski, Ryan Preece and Austin Dillon all in good cars. So, Bell and his crew chief Jason Ratcliffe (who went with him from Xfinity to the Cup Series) have done really well together at this track. It's a different series, obviously, but it's a good indicator that this car should have a good set up coming into Sunday. Another factor in Bell's favor is that the Joe Gibbs cars traditionally run really, really well at New Hampshire. In the last two races here, the four Joe Gibbs cars have a total of six Top 8 finishes and no finish worse than 16th. Bell isn't in a full Gibbs ride, but it's as close as you can get. Finally, Matt DiBennedetto ran this same #95 car to a 5th place finish at New Hampshire last year. Again, different package and different driver, but another indicator this team should have the information to come to the track with a good set up.
In the end, I think Bell works here because you've got some reasonably priced dominator plays and some decent cheap options to fill out a really strong lineup. My own style is to prefer the safety of Bell here instead of using the $10k to chase another potential dominator. Let's talk about some of the targets to complete your lineup.
Other - Two other guys I like if salary allows and you don't mind a little more risk.
My name is Steve and I've won thousands playing NASCAR fantasy racing games. This blog will share my advice for enjoying and winning your fantasy racing games.