pocono post qualifying notes

I'm going to spend a little more time thinking about how to handle the front of the field, but here are guys I am targeting from the 15th starting position on back.  We have a good number of guys with some potential and reasonable prices:

• Brad Keselowski (17th) -- Will probably be in all my cash lineups.  He has five straight Top 5 finishes at Pocono.  Expect a Top 10 finish with good position difference points.  Also a sub $10K price on DK.
• Daniel Suarez (18th) -- Ran pretty well at Pocono last year.  The JGR Toyotas have good speed, so I expect him to move up at least 5 positions.
• Eric Jones (25th) -- Finished 3rd and 8th last year at Pocono.  From his post-qualifying interview, it seems like they might have misjudged what it would take to advance to Round Two.  Great upside here at a reasonable price.  Also likely to be in all my cash lineups.
• Matt Kenseth (26th) -- Obviously in much better equipment, but Top 10 in five of the last six Pocono races.  He's been highly owned since his return and I expect the same to be true this week.
• Ty Dillon (29th) -- As we noted below, this is one of his better tracks.  Finished Top 20 here both races last year with +9 and +13 position difference.
• Aric Almirola (34th) -- Said his crew told him he had an equalized tire (inner liner leaking air into the main tire) that threw off the balance in qualifying.  Should be a Top 20 car with 15+ position difference points, but Almirola really has a bad record at Pocono.  His best finish is 18th and he's only been in the Top 20 in four out of eleven races.  Put your expectations at a 15th-20th finishing position when you decide what to do with him.