Road America Cup

I will try to post a quick update after qualifying.

​Only 62 laps for the Cup race on Sunday, so not a whole lot out there for laps led or fastest laps. In addition, there are multiple pit stop strategies that could come into play so we're very unlikely to see anyone dominate and lead a bulk of the laps. Larson essentially did that at Sonoma, but that one had 90 laps so offered a good deal more points for laps led and fastest laps. So, the focus is more on finishing position and position difference points.

Obviously, a lot depends on qualifying spots. Here is my main target list heading into qualifying. But anyone driving for a good team can come into play if they qualify way worse then expected.

• Kyle Busch - Won Saturday's Xfinity race and is generally good on road courses. Will have to start from the rear after wrecking in practice, so watch his official starting spot. He may take it easy in qualifying and have an official starting spot well back in the field.
• Ryan Preece - Same as Busch. But also concerned he didn't get any practice time. Busch and Haley both ran the entire Xfinity race, so not worried about them.
• Justin Haley - Same as Busch and Preece. Haley is a good road course guy. The main question here is car reliability.
• Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott - The best two road course guys in the Cup Series.
• A.J. Allmendinger - Arguably the best road course racer in the field. 7th at Daytona and 5th at COTA this year. Ton of Road America experience. His pit crew has been really, really bad in the Cup races.
• Christopher Bell - Won at Road America in the Xfinity Series in 2019. Also won earlier this year in the Cup Series at the Daytona Road Course. 
• Chase Briscoe - A lot of experience at Road America from the Xfinity Series and a good road course driver. 
• Tyler Reddick - Like Bell and Briscoe, he has some Xfinity experience here. Not known as a road course guy, but he threw down a great lap in practice. 
• Joey Logano - Top 5 finish in the last four road course races. The negative is he lacks Road America experience.
• Martin Truex - I do not expect him to challenge for the race win. But he should be Top 10.
• Austin Cindric - A lot of Road America experience from Xfinity and a top road course guy.
• Eric Jones - 14th, 16th, 11th at the three road course races this year.
• Kurt Busch - Struggled in the COTA rain race, but two 4th place finishes and a 6th place finish in the other three most recent road course races.
• Ross Chastain - Not really known as a road course guy, but a ton of speed at the road courses this year. Lots of Xfinity experience at Road America.
• Chris Buescher - 13 consecutive Top 20 finishes at road course races -- including 11th, 13th and 16th this year.
• Michael McDowell - 8th, 7th and running in the Top 10 before getting spun in the last corner at Sonoma in the three road courses this year.

Bets

• Kyle Busch +100 Truex
• Kyle Busch +155 Chase Elliott
• McDowell +125 Reddick
• Cindric +4000 to win