roval final update

I try to be as honest and transparent as I can be every week and this week that leads me in a little different direction for the final update.  The bottom line is that this race is terrible for cash game plays and I'm playing very little this weekend.  On top of the uncertainty with the new track, we've got what would otherwise be key cash game targets like Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski and Eric Jones all starting from the rear but being credited with mid-field starting spots.  We've also got a mix of guys who will be ultra aggressive because they are below the cut and need to win or have some bizarre results to advance to the next round.  And on top of all that, we've got ultra aggressive drivers like AJ Allmendinger and Jamie McMurray who have no ride for next year and may throw caution to the wind in hopes of scoring a victory on their way out the door.  I don't like the mix at all.

With all that out of the way, here are the guys I am mostly focused on for the few cash game contests I am going to enter:

• Kyle Busch -- Great road course record, good speed throughout the weekend and a 14th starting position to offer position difference upside.
• Truex -- Much the same as Busch, but with 13th starting spot.  I'll take Busch over Truex, but not by much.
• Keselowski -- Hate that he's going to the rear.  But he was fast today and gets credited with the 25th starting spot, so still decent upside there.  I do have some concern that they Paul Wolfe might gamble on a strategy to win since BK is already locked into the next round.  But still hard to go wrong at $9,800.
• Michael McDowell -- Only $6,100 and a good shot at a Top 20 finish -- although limited position difference upside from 18th starting spot.
• Justin Marks -- Experienced road course racer who finished 2nd in the Xfinity race on Saturday.  Only $6,000 and offers some position difference upside starting 31st.

Good luck.  Please don't over do it this race.