Texas Xfinity

I talk about it more in Trucks below, but track conditions are going to be real tough with the heat and traction compound. So we want to anchor the lineup with by far the best driver in the field -- Kyle Busch. From there, we can look at these options--

• Noah Gragson or Josh Berry for position difference. Probably just going with Berry because he's over $1k cheaper. Both have Top 5 upside but could just as easily wreck.
• Tommy Joe Martins - This is one of his best tracks, with finishes of 16th and 10th last year. In the four 1.5 mile races this year, TJM has three finishes of 19th or better. Cheap with a lot of position difference upside.
• Ronnie Bassett - It's close between Bassett and Stefan Parsons. Parsons is probably the better driver but in worse equipment and vice versa for Bassett. I'm leaning the more reliable car here, but can go either way. Or do both for cheap.
• Jeffrey Earnhardt - No worse than 23rd at the four 1.5 mile track races this season. He was pretty consistent at the 1.5 mile tracks last year too, including 13th and 18th place finishes at Texas.
• Bayley Currey - Finished 22nd and 24th in his last two 1.5 mile tracks races. As always with the Mike Harmon cars, they are very unreliable and prone to breakdowns. Don't love this play in the heat and tough conditions expected Saturday. But he does start 39th, so he's not going to kill you even if the car fails. And there is a lot more upside then some of the other guys in this range.
• Garrett Smithley - Decent driver in a decent car. He's probably got upside to finish around 20th.