xfinity - daytona road course

Well it was quite the Friday Night Trucks Series race. The race itself was, of course, ridiculous with the number of cautions and general stupid stuff we've come to expect in truck races. But, I talked about the chaos I expected here and played lineups accordingly. It resulted in my first solo GPP takedown and a $20,000 win on $130 worth of entries in the $100K Piston. It's still hard to believe.
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I'm pretty set on this Xfinity strategy for cash games--

• Lock in Austin Cindric. He should lead laps early and often and is a near lock for a Top 3 finish.
• Lock in Ty Gibbs. He's just way too cheap. You know he's going to have the best road racing car that Joe Gibbs has ever built. He finished 2nd in the ARCA race at the Daytona road course last year and he also has ARCA experience at Watkins Glen. It's not the safest of plays, but it's so cheap that it makes sense because of what it opens up for the rest of the roster. And you know they wouldn't be sending him out there for his Xfinity Series debut unless he's as well prepared as possible.
• Pick a couple of guys from the big teams starting in the back. Noah Gragson, Brandon Jones, Justin Allgaier, Justin Haley and Michael Annet all offer low floors with good upside. I listed them in the order I like them if salary is no issue.
• Take a road course guy from the group of Alex Labbe, Andy Lally and Jade Buford. All have Xfinity Series road course experience and are accomplished road course drivers. Labbe and Lally are equal and on top for me. Buford is a notch below, but also cheaper.
• Fill it out with Cody Ware or Stephen Leicht. If needed, you can use both if you prefer to not use Ty Gibbs because of his inexperience and more risky starting spot.
  • Leicht runs the road course races for MBM and finished in the low 20s in each of the four road course races last year -- 21st, 22nd, 21st (Daytona) and 24th. The 24th place finish was in the monsoon at Charlotte so can be discounted a bit. He's a veteran driver and there's no reason to think he won't repeat something like this. That said, MBM is prone to mechanical issues and it's always a risk using them when there is no practice to work out any gremlins.
  • Ware has road course experience in the Xfinity Series and actually finished 7th after starting 38th in the Charlotte race last year. That was quite a feat given the extreme wet weather conditions in that race. He also ran in the 24 Hours at Daytona a few weeks ago, so has logged countless hours of simulation and on track time in the last few months. He's a little expensive, but still fairly priced given starting spot and upside.

Odds I found interesting:

• Myatt Snider +8000 to win. This is just too high and has to be based off his performance last least in the #93 RSS car. Snider has taken a big step up in ride quality this year and has a good deal of road course experience. I'm not predicting he'll win and he's still a long shot. But you can put down $10 and win $800 if he were to somehow pull it off. Too much.